On the Cusp of a Bull Run?
Unmasking the Market's Hidden Warning Signals
A new strategic partnership
We are thrilled to announce a strategic partnership with Balfour Capital Group, a preeminent hedge fund managing over $250 million, led by CIO Steve Lawrence. Steve is a highly successful trader and businessman, but also a great human. Through repeated meetings between our respective teams, we have found a lot of common ground despite our different backgrounds. Balfour Capital Group comprehensive expertise complements our endeavors, fostering a symbiotic alliance that promises growth and innovation for both entities.
Balfour Capital Group, much like us, integrates cutting-edge quantitative modeling, with the seasoned expertise of veteran traders. This blend of computer and human insight has been effective, with an average annual return of 26.61% over five years, and an impressive 64.36% return in 2022.
New blog articles
The most important commitment we want to make to investors is to maintain high standards of integrity & transparency. To underline this principle, we have added a new feature to our blog: our articles and market projections are now being stored on the Ethereum blockchain, and accessible via anaideiacapital.eth.
We are starting this Substack to upgrade our email updates accessibility. The content of these email updates acts as vitrine to the more in-dept content of the blog. Here are three new blog articles that we’re very excited to share with you today:
Each of these articles were signed on Ethereum this Monday, November 20th 2023.
Anaideia means ruthlessness
Anaideia, meaning 'ruthlessness' in Ancient Greek, embodies our approach to unemotional, data-led decision-making.
Embracing our AI signals (aka. the FishTank outputs) has led us to:
Call for a top at $31k, while BlackRock CEO was promoting Bitcoin on live TV.
Short BTC last week, despite:
BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF ticker listing.
BlackRock’s Ethereum ETF filing with SEC.
Our approach is not rigid, but rather dynamic, as market volatility obliges. We continuously interpret our evolving, proprietary signals, integrating AI with human market experience, to serve one unequivocal objective: risk minimisation.
The FishTank primary focus, by design, is downside detection. While our team, composed of EPFL computer scientists and early crypto-enthusiasts, is experienced in discerning outlier opportunity from potential threat in the complex crypto landscape.
Market timing update
We don't claim to nail perfectly every move, but our readers know that we have been quite accurate. So far, our only questionable projection is the latest one from the previous range: where we have said that, although short-lived fluctuations to the upside were likely, we expected more downside before the start of the bull market.
Since our last forecast, BTC has outperformed our expectations, breaking its 530-day range following a headline that captured the attention of the entire crypto sphere: the addition of BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF ticker on DTCC’s website. Anaideia Capital took this opportunity to build a short position on BTC. Here is why.
Our nuanced view in 3 points:
The short term view is bearish. More details.
We believe that our latest projection is still on the table. Here is why.
The bull market is near. Here is why.
Conclusion
The market's current posture reveals a susceptibility to a pullback, $31-30k is the technical main target to our immediate short position, however, we are fully ready to embrace and profit from a scenario where Bitcoin dips much lower.
We also care to clarify that we regard such a downturn as an ephemeral setback, setting the stage for a much more resilient uptrend. In anticipation, Anaideia is prepared to strategically accumulate its special portfolio, in zones of deep value.
This dual strategy—blending sharp market timing with longer-term investments—optimizes our potential to outperform.
Here is how to invest.